DISADVANTAGE/PROLIFERATION

ISRAEL SCENARIO: ISRAEL WILL NOT ATTACK

ISRAEL CANNOT AFFORD AND WILL NOT ENGAGE IN A PRE-EMPTIVE STRIKE

Juan Romero, Jane's Intelligence Review March 1, 1999; Pg. 32 HEADLINE: Charting reactions to the Islamic bomb //lnu-acs

Tel Aviv cannot afford to antagonise the whole Islamic world, which will be the result of striking at nuclear facilities in neighbouring countries. Besides, how will Islamabad, Moscow and Beijing react to the USA acting on its own again?