IMPACTS: LOSS OF THE ABM TREATY MEANS A NEW NUCLEAR ARMS RACE WITH CHINA

BREAKING THE ABM TREATY MEANS HUGE EXPANSION OF CHINESE NUCLEAR FORCES

Justin Brown, March 13, 2000, The Christian Science Monitor

SECTION: USA; WHERE THEY STAND; Pg. 2 HEADLINE: Two views of security, as seen in 'star wars' // acs-ln

Breaking the ABM treaty and building a US missile defense could have a strong impact on the rest of the world. China would likely react by building more long-range missiles, analysts say, so that it would have the ability to overwhelm the system and maintain its deterrence against the US.

WE CANNOT ABANDON CERTAIN ARMS CONTROL TREATIES (LIKE THE ABM TREATY), FOR IF WE DO WE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP AN ASIAN NUCLEAR TSUNAMI

Joseph Cirincione, director of the Non-Proliferation Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, March 1, 2000, The Christian Science Monitor SECTION: OPINION; Pg. 9 HEADLINE: Asian nuclear chain reaction // acs-ln

Some critics, such as Henry Kissinger, argue that the US can pick and choose which particular arms treaties it finds most advantageous.

Unfortunately, an arms control a-la-carte strategy will not work - the non-proliferation regime functions only as an integrated whole.

Provocative US actions, such as the deployment of national missile defense, could well set in motion a chain of events that diplomacy will be powerless to stop. Only by expanding the resources devoted to international negotiations and leading by example in reducing nuclear dangers can the US hope to prevent a nuclear tsunami from sweeping out of Asia.

CHINA PROMISES THAT VIOLATION OF THE ABM TREATY WILL LEAD TO A NEW NUCLEAR ARMS RACE

Jonathan S. Landay , The Christian Science Monitor, September 17, 1999, Pg. 2 HEADLINE: Missile issues put chill on US-China thaw // ln-10/99-acs

"China's position is clear," says Yu Shu Ning. "We say there should be no reversal or revision of the ABM Treaty because otherwise there would be a revival of the arms race."

That position reflects experts' apprehensions that China - and Russia - will build more nuclear-armed missiles to ensure that they can overwhelm US defenses, maintaining their nuclear deterrents.

CHINA IS ANGRY AT USA REJECTION OF THE ABM TREATY, SEES IT AS A HIGH-HANDED UNILATERAL ACT

JOHN POMFRET; STAFFWRITER WASHINGTON POST, The Plain Dealer, November 11, 1999 SECTION: NATIONAL; Pg. 10A HEADLINE: CHINESE CRITICIZE U.S. EFFORT TO BUILD ANTI-MISSILE DEFENSE // acs-ln-11-19-99

Sha's [Sha Zukang, the Foreign Ministry's arms control director] statements reflect China's deep unease with current American strategic thinking, specifically the push to amend or even abrogate the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. Underlying Sha's comments is a perception, shared by some European officials, that Washington is capitalizing on its status as the world's most powerful country to lock in a strategic advantage that would make it immune to intimidation.