AFF/ROGUE STATES/GENERAL

ROGUE STATES AND NUCLEAR WEAPONS CAUSE HAVOC IN THE WORLD SYSTEM

THE DANGER IS NOT NUCLEAR USE BY IRAN OR IRAQ, BUT THE PROBLEMS THEY CAUSE ACTING BEHIND A NUCLEAR SHIELD

Avigdor Haselkorn, author of The Continuing Storm: Iraq, Poisonous Weapons and Deterrence. April 5, 2001 The Ottawa Citizen, SECTION: NEWS, Pg. A15 HEADLINE: World order faces techno terror: The post-Cold War peace is giving way to global anarchy //VT2002acsln

Because the addition of Pakistan and India to the nuclear club has had no adverse impact on world stability, it could be argued that last month's assessment of the German Federal Intelligence Service that Saddam Hussein could have a bomb within three years should be taken in stride. Yet even if Iran and Iraq refrain from actually using nuclear weapons once they acquire them, the kind of international mischief these regimes could sponsor once shielded by their new weapons is frightening.

WEAPONS MAKE LEADERS MORE AGGRESSIVE

Robert Hinde [Master of St. Johns at Cambridge, UK] 1993 "Aggression and War." BEHAVIOR, SOCIETY AND INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT. Ed. by Comm. on Int'l Conflict: INTL Research Council//woods

They have to cope with differences of opinion between groups in their own country. The availability of weapons, which, as we have seen, can help to elicit aggression in individuals, may also have unconscious as well as supposedly conscious effects on the decisions of leaders.

RUSSIA, CHINA AND NORTH KOREA’S TECHNOLOGY TRADE IS INCREASING WMD RISKS

Jane's Missiles And Rockets March 1, 2001 HEADLINE: Iraq has rebuilt critical missile plants, says CIA //VT2002acsln

He [CIA Dir Tenet] told the committee that "I cannot underestimate the catalytic role that foreign assistance has played in advancing these missile and WMD programs, shortening their development times and aiding production. The three major suppliers of missile or WMD-related technologies continue to be Russia, China, and North Korea." Russian state-run defence and nuclear industries are short of money, said Tenet, and the Russian government looks to them to acquire badly needed foreign exchange through exports. "Russian entities last year continued to supply a variety of ballistic missile-related goods and technical know-how to countries such as Iran, India, China, and Libya. Indeed, the transfer of ballistic missile technology from Russia to Iran was substantial last year, and in our judgment will continue to accelerate Iranian efforts to develop new missiles and to become self-sufficient in production.